Aren't Larger Risk-Pools the Solution?

A Puzzlement for Us, Too
Well, As our old friend the King of Siam (aka Yul Brynner) was wont to say: ”It’s a puzzlement.” Our current President (peace be upon him) has often stated “there will be no government takeover of health care.” And, in his usual coded way, he’s right. Literally, that is. But both he and certain salient members of Congress have stated their strong preference for a single-payer system, government run, everyone covered. This has also been the oft-stated goal of various American Leftists and, in more recent years (post infiltration), of the Democrat(ic) Party. Nothing new there.
The puzzlement is, if they pass the sidecar bill and reconciliation and we wind up with “the National Exchange,” do the single-payer supporters get something they really want, i.e., low premiums and wholistic care? Near as I can tell, the exchange gets them a very good proxy for national health care. That is, instead of the public option that was intended to drive the insurance companies out of business – again, the President (pbuh) has stated he wants them gone – or the co-ops that would have done the same job a little more slowly, we offer for your delectation (Tah-dah!) – the Exchange.
This ‘corpus of deciders’ will approve which insurers can compete, decide which coverage is acceptable, and veto any premium level they find unacceptable. If you’re a single-payer person, this is way cool. OTOH, an insurance company that cannot determine what services it’s offering or what they charge for those services is effectively a government plan-administrator. Voila! Single-payer cleverly disguised as a bunch of lapdog insurance companies (Pay no attention to the person behind the curtain). Not as neat as direct government administration, but the good news (?) is that the feds get to pick the winners and losers.
Now, whether you’re a wise Progressive or a ‘Fascist Pig’ (you know who you are), you want to make sure that you’re not one of the losers. This requires some careful scrutiny, but not careful enough to make you roll your eyes back and think suicidal thoughts. I hope. Low premiums and wholistic care. Well, we all know that adding 30M people to the rolls and extending benefits represents a huge increase in costs.
The wholistic part means that more health care visits will be made, but presumably with less chronic complaints. That’s good… unless. Unless the crowded clinics operated by nurses or lesser-trained people proliferate, and you don’t get to see a real doc until things are very serious. And this transition may cause us to lose a lot of docs who don’t want to be told how to care for their patients under the guise of “best practice.” Just sayin.’ (And this combination could cause very long waits for either appointment).
But of course, none of that can happen at an affordable premium if the insurance companies’ risk pools aren’t large enough to accommodate the extra people and the extra care at a level that is an improvement over the present system. A common misconception about insurance companies and competition is that competition under any circumstance produces better service and lower prices as the companies vie for your business. An insurance company is a product that mitigates your risk by pooling your payments together with others who are at risk in order to have a large enough pool of money to handle the occasional loss experienced by only some of the people in the pool.
Our catch here is that we want to increase the number of insureds, and their level of care, without letting the insurers expand the risk pools enough to handle the increase. This is potentially bad news for anyone who will be buying coverage under the exchange.
There are two economic ways to lower these premiums: mandatory participation, and the reduction of the number of health insurers and expansion over state lines until a handful of very large insurance entities are created. Here it gets interesting (at last!). Insurance companies, as you probably know by now, are only licensed in states and the residents of those states are only permitted to buy insurance from them. These would be state monopolies subject to anti-trust prosecution, except for the federal exemption in place since the ’40′s. Congress just rescinded the exemption.
This seems to mean (I’d appreciate your comments on this – no registration necessary) that if the insurance companies tried to increase their client base by selling nationally, across state lines, as soon as they got large enough to have the size risk pool necessary to lower premiums and increase benefits, the federal government could target them for prosecution as monopolies (because this is not the federal government’s desired solution to health care). And, as an aside, they would also be approaching the realm of “too big to fail.” But if forced to remain small and not combine with one another in order to achieve the desired result (a Progressive plus), they simply could not break out of the current dilemma wherein competition in a small geographic area forces premiums high and care low.
There seem to be serious legal experts who think that federalizing any part of health care is an infringement on states’ rights and not justifiable using the usual interstate commerce clause of the constitution as an excuse. In other words, unconstitutional. Anything enacted without being initiated by the states could be subject to years of litigation and eventual overturning by the Supremes.
I’m clearly no expert, but, as I say – a puzzlement.
Which brings us to your favorite feature and mine:
FREQUENTLY UNASKED QUESTIONS
- What legal obstacles need to be overcome in order to achieve an effective result?
- Would it be better to leave reform to the states, passing federal legislation that allows them to form compacts that result in large insurance pools?
- The insurance companies have offered to drop pre-existing exclusions if participation is mandatory. This increases the pool, but effects those who can’t afford the insurance. Is there a constitutional way for either the federal government or the states to require the purchase of insurance by every citizen?
- Is there a way of incentivizing the voluntarily uninsured, especially the young, to insure without a mandate?
- Perhaps low premiums that accumulate as refundable savings at specific intervals, if unused?